Investment Strategy
Long-term oriented but adaptable
Typically attempting to invest at large discount to private market value (i.e., if business were sold) - as estimated five years into the future
While many investments are intended to be held for multiple years, some, particularly event-driven situations, may resolve in weeks or months
Focused on reducing risk of long-term permanent losses, not short-term quotational losses
Short-term price movements are an advantage; the greater the mispricing, the greater the potential return
Maintain and constantly update a list of companies with estimated valuations, along with target investment prices - whether the stock price ever reaches those levels is determined by the market. Again, market fluctuations are to our advantage.
Highly selective and therefore concentrated in best ideas
Typically fewer than 15 investments (often less than 10)
Portfolio consists of best ideas available at the highest estimated returns, lowest estimated risk of loss, and highest confidence of valuation
Unconstrained – invest wherever highest estimated return exists
No restrictions by company size, industry, or geography; focus is solely on investing in the most undervalued opportunities
Many investments are outside the U.S. and/or in smaller, less-followed companies
No restrictions allows for analysis across thousands of companies, increasing the likelihood of identifying high-return, low-risk opportunities
Since highly undervalued opportunities often exist in the most hated/ignored/misunderstood companies, many of our investments may appear odd